less than
10/10
9+
10/10 10
Undetermined or unknown x
Concentration (C)
C – Total concentration of ice in the area, reported in tenths (see symbols in table 3.1).
Note: Ranges of concentration may be reported.
Ca Cb Cc – Partial concentrations of thickest (Ca), second thickest (Cb) and third thickest (Cc)
ice, in tenths.
Note: Less than 1/10 is not reported. 10/10 of one stage of development
/media/hafis/frodleikur/ice-chart_colour-code-standard.pdf
Denmark, DK). Participatory planning processes - Group model building
10:00 p9 Simo Haanpää (Aalto University, Fi). Ilmasto-opas.fi (ClimateGuide.fi) web portal - a new tool for managing climate change in Finnish municipalities
10:30 tea/coffee break
11:00 break out sessions : Thursday cases revisited
12:00 - 13:00 lunch
13:00 p10
Helle Katrine Andersen (DANVA, Dk). DANVA CC adaptation plan
/nonam/workshop/program/
to c. 10% increase
Uncertainty related to choice of GCM
• Changing seasonality (2021-2050 vs 1961-1990)
in Sweden
T2m Precipitation Wind speed
Colored lines represent averages over RCMs forced by the same GCM
Gray field is max/min of all RCM simulations
An example of CC in the next few decades
2011-2040
vs
1961-1990
Why are differences between ensemble
members so large?
Winter (DJF)
M
S
L
P
T
2
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
Figure 8. Stations ranked according to their average CC for the 20 highest rainfall daily events.
................................................................................................................................................... 33
Figure 9. Ranked values of the 50 highest 24-hour accumulated precipitation events plotted
against ranked values of the 50 highest daily precipitation
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf
Skýrsla
+354 522 60 00
+354 522 60 06
vedur@vedur.is
Veðurstofa Íslands
Bústaðavegur 9
150 Reykjavík
Use of relatively located microearthquakes
to map fault patterns and estimate the
thickness of the brittle crust in Southwest
Iceland
Sigurlaug Hjaltadóttir
90 ECTS thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of a
Magister Scientiarum degree in Geophysics
Advisors
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
tg
ui
da
n
ce
fo
rt
ra
ns
bo
un
da
ry
w
at
er
s,
pr
ep
ar
ed
an
d
P. van der Keur et al.
(floo
dmanag
ement
)an
d
wat
er
qualit
y
ag
re
ed
u
po
n
in
co
m
m
o
n
u
n
de
rs
ta
nd
in
g,
creat
ed
th
e
bas
is
fo
rth
e
formul
atio
n
o
f
joi
nt
m
ea
su
re
s
(Fr
ijte
rs
an
d
Le
en
tv
aa
r
200
3)
Mo
del
s
(na
tural
,te
chnica
l
an
d
so
ci
al
sy
ste
m
s):
Uncert
aint
y
ha
s
to
be
incorp
orated
:
1:
Ep
ist
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
et
al
.(
200
4)
21
.Explici
tconsideratio
n
o
funcertaint
y
(relate
dt
o
CC
impacts
)
Uncertaintie
s
ar
e
no
t
glosse
d
ove
r
bu
tcommunicate
d
(in
fina
lreports
,orally
)
Diet
z
et
al
.(
200
3),
Brugnac
h
et
al
.(
200
8)
Researcher
s
ar
e
willin
g
to
tal
k
wit
h
stakeholder
s
abou
tuncertaintie
s
Diet
z
et
al
.(
200
3),
Brugnac
h
et
al
.(
200
8)
22
.Broa
d
communicatio
n
(on
CC
impacts
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
nostaa,
m utta
oh ijuoksutu
ksia tulee
Sähkönvas tus kasvaa
-> energ iahäv iö ita
Muuntajien
elinikä lyhenee
Jääkannen
m uodostaminen
h idastuu
Very likely,
the
probab ility
that the next
decade is
warmer is
90% .
Ilm iö
1 .1 – korkeammat
läm pötilat etenkin talvella
Skenario
1. Lä mpimäpi i lmasto
O ma luokitteluOma luokit te lu
Nykyiset t ai
tuleva t
varautumiskahdo
llisuudet
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
Delta Change Method
(correction of observed precipitation)
Transformation of precipitation
cont
fut
obsfut M
M
PP =
Observeret n dbør
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1-12-99 11-12-99 21-12-99 31-12-99
Dato
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret
Skal ring af e
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
4
- - - -
t
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret D lta Change
Critical assumption:
Future dynamics = present dynamics
No change in number
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf