Becoming east and southeast 10-18 m/s with rain, but 18-23 in the southernmost part for a while.
South 15-23 m/s and rain tomorrow, but mainly dry in the northeast. Temperaturea 7 to 15 deg C, warmest in the northeast. Turning southwest 20-28 with showers of rain or sleet in the north by afternoon, possibly 30 m/s for a while in the northwest, but 13-20 and rain showers in the south. Moderating tomorrow evening and falling temperatures.
Forecast made 06.11.2024 21:57
East fresh to strong gales and moderate rain in the southernmost part for a while and strong gusts near mountains. Hazardous travel conditions. Southerly severe gales tomorrow morning, but southwest storm in the north part by afternoon. Moderating tomorrow evening.
See weather warnings.
Prepared by the meteorologist on duty 06.11.2024 21:57
If the map and the text forecast differs, then the text forecast applies
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Preliminary results
Size | Time | Quality | Location |
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2.5 | 05 Nov 15:32:30 | Checked | 8.2 km E of Bárðarbunga |
2.3 | 05 Nov 04:47:52 | Checked | 5.1 km ENE of Reykjanestá |
2.1 | 05 Nov 01:35:59 | 30.7 | 13.3 km NW of Kolbeinsey |
2.0 | 05 Nov 00:08:43 | Checked | 3.3 km SW of Litla Kaffistofan |
1.9 | 05 Nov 04:39:51 | Checked | 3.1 km SW of Litla Kaffistofan |
1.8 | 05 Nov 07:47:29 | Checked | 3.4 km SW of Litla Kaffistofan |
Earthquake activity throughout the country is described in a weekly summary that is written by a Natural Hazard Specialist. The weekly summary is published on the web every Tuesday. It covers the activity of the previous week in all seismic areas and volcanic systems in the country. If earthquake swarms are ongoing or significant events such as larger earthquakes have occurred during the week, they are specifically discussed. More
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Considerable rain is expected for upcoming days with rising water level in rivers and streams.
Due to technical problems we have turned off the service publishing hydrological data on the map. See data here: Real-time monitoring system.
Written by a specialist at 06 Nov 11:49 GMT
The avalanche bulletin is at a regional scale. It does not necessarily represent avalanche danger in urban areas.
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Updated 29. October at 18:00 UTC
Uplift and magma accumulation have continued steadily in Svartsengi over the past few weeks. Seismic activity around the Sundhnúkar crater row remains very low, with only a few minor earthquakes recorded each day in recent weeks.
The Icelandic Meteorological Office has evaluated how much magma must accumulate beneath Svartsengi to likely trigger the next event. Using model calculations based on GPS and satellite data, this assessment has been updated. This new evaluation suggests that the likelihood of a new magma intrusion—and possibly an eruption—increases toward late November. This estimate relies on the available deformation data. If the rate of uplift in Svartsengi changes, this assessment will be adjusted accordingly.
Continued greenhouse gas emissions increase global warming, but could trigger a regional cooling around the North Atlantic. In an open letter released today at the Arctic Circle conference in Reykjavík, Iceland, 44 leading experts on ocean circulation and tipping points from 15 countries appeal to the Nordic Council of Ministers to take this risk seriously, initiate a risk assessment and take steps to minimize this risk as much as possible.
Read moreThe National Meteorological Institutes of Iceland, Denmark, Ireland and the Netherlands have joined forces to respond to climate change with more timely weather forecasting on a new, now operational, common supercomputer. This helps prepare each nation for the impacts of weather patterns, which are expected to become more extreme and more challenging to forecast.
Read moreToday marks one month since the beginning of the eruption that is ongoing at the Sundhnúkur crater row. The eruption, which began on the evening of March 16, is the fourth in a series of eruptions that started when magma began accumulating beneath Svartsengi in late October 2023.
Read moreYesterday (25 March) a seismic swarm occurred in the NW part of the Askja caldera. About 30 earthquakes were detected between 08.00UTC and midday. The largest earthquake detected had a magnitude M3,5 at a depth of about 5 km. Three earthquakes with magnitudes between M2 and M2,5 were also detected, the rest of the activity was characterized by smaller events. Overall, the seismic activity in the Askja has been quite stable between months and unchanged until yesterday. Looking back, we can see that earthquakes with magnitude above M3 were detected in January 2022 and October 2021.
Read moreThe weather in 2023 was mostly favorable. It was calm, dry, relatively little snow and stormy days were quite uncommon. However, the year was cooler compared to the most recent years. The average nationwide temperature was 0.1°C colder than the average temperature between 1991 and 2020, and 0.4°C colder than the average temperature of the last ten years. It was relatively coldest in the North, while the Southwest and Southern coast were relatively warmer. The weather was particularly cold in the beginning of the year and again in March. June, on the other hand was exceptionally warm in the North and East. It was the warmest June on record in many places in those regions. The year was relatively dry, with precipitation below average across most of the country. There were several dry periods during the year, such as in March and July, but there were also periods of heavy rain in between. May and June were particularly wet and gloomy in the southern and western regions.
Read moreHARMONIE is a numerical weather prediction model (NWP) that is non-hydrostatic and convection-permitting. It is operated at 2.5 km horizontal resolution over a domain that covers Iceland and the surrounding seas. At this resolution it is possible to simulate explicitly some processes that are important for clouds and precipitation as well as meteorological phenomena related to up- and downdrafts. In order to simulate the interaction between the atmosphere and the surface, the model takes into account different types of land surface as well as processes in and at the surface.
Read more