Easterly winds 8-15 m/s, but 15-20 m/s in the far south. Mostly fair weather, but showers or snow showers in the southeast and east. Turning colder, with temperatures between 0 and 7 deg. C in the afternoon, coolest in the northeast. Similar conditions tomorrow, but with somewhat more frost inland in the north.
Forecast made 23.01.2026 05:15
Strong winds can be expected in the far south of Iceland, especially beneath Eyjafjöll and in Öræfi. This may be hazardous for vehicles sensitive to strong winds.
Prepared by the meteorologist on duty 23.01.2026 05:15
If the map and the text forecast differs, then the text forecast applies
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Preliminary results
| Size | Time | Quality | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | 22 Jan 10:28:22 | Checked | 7.3 km E of Bárðarbunga |
| 2.5 | 21 Jan 16:09:04 | Checked | 2.0 km NW of Bárðarbunga |
| 2.1 | 22 Jan 11:59:31 | Checked | 7.7 km E of Bárðarbunga |
This morning, January 22nd at 10:28 an M4.1 earthquake was detected in the Eastern end of the Bárðarbunga caldera. Several aftershocks have followed.
On January 1st an M4.2 earthquake was detected in the same area. Earthquakes are normal in this area.
Written by a specialist at 22 Jan 16:38 GMT
Earthquake activity throughout the country is described in a weekly summary that is written by a Natural Hazard Specialist. The weekly summary is published on the web every Tuesday. It covers the activity of the previous week in all seismic areas and volcanic systems in the country. If earthquake swarms are ongoing or significant events such as larger earthquakes have occurred during the week, they are specifically discussed. More
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There is measured water level increase in many rivers and runoffs in the south and east parts due to warm weather and rain. Markarfljót and Hólmsá around Mýrdalsjökull are measuring quite high and caution should be exercised around them. Chances of rock fall on steep slopes also increases. See further information in blog.
Due to malfunction we have turned off the service publishing hydrological data on the map. Instead see the data using our Real-time monitoring system.
Written by a specialist at 22 Jan 19:38 GMT
Avalanche forecasts are now published on Icelandic Met Office’s new website:
New avalanche pages on gottvedur.is/en
News from the Icelandic Met Office’s landslide monitoring service will continue to be published on vedur.is (in Icelandic)
Magma accumulation beneath Svartsengi remains slow but steady, as it has been in recent weeks. As magma continues to build up and pressure in the system increases, a magma intrusion from Svartsengi and a volcanic eruption along the Sundhnúkur crater row remain the most likely scenario in the coming weeks.
Read more
Updated 5 August
The volcanic eruption that began on 16 July on the Sundhnúkur crater row is now officially over, and a new hazard map has been issued. Despite the end of the eruption, life-threatening conditions remain in the area due to unstable lava and the potential for gas pollution. Uplift has resumed, and magma continues to accumulate beneath Svartsengi.
Read moreBy 11:00, more than 450 lightning strikes had been recorded since the activity began.
Read more
Updated at 11:30, 20 July
The eruption at the Sundhnúkur crater row has caused significant air pollution in recent days, with volcanic haze spreading widely but not fully captured by the national air quality monitoring network. The Icelandic Meteorological Office forecasts gas pollution in South and West Iceland over the coming days, with light winds contributing to persistent haze, especially in the southwest. Vulnerable groups are advised to limit time outdoors if they experience discomfort, and practical guidance for reducing indoor exposure is provided.
Read moreThe flood is subsiding, and water level and conductivity are now approaching normal values in Skálm.
The flood reached its peak the night before last. IMO´s specialists continue to observe the area
Read moreIn May 2025, an unusually intense heatwave struck Iceland and eastern Greenland, breaking numerous temperature records. On 15 May, Iceland's national May temperature record was set at 26.6°C at Egilsstaðir Airport, with several locations recording temperatures up to 13°C above the monthly average.
A new international analysis by the World Weather Attribution group shows that human-induced climate change made this heatwave around 40 times more likely and, on average, three degrees Celsius hotter than it would have been without global warming. The study also suggests that if global temperatures rise by 2.6°C, such heatwaves could become at least twice as frequent and two degrees hotter.
Read moreThe climate and hydrology of Iceland are highly variable due to natural conditions. Significant changes in these factors over the last 15 years are in harmony with the future scenarios represented and affirmed in the latest IPCC summary report, AR5. The main purpose of IMO is to contribute towards security in society by monitoring, analyzing, interpreting, informing; providing warnings and forecasts and predicting natural hazards. It is important to keep the infrastructure strong so that IMO may fulfill its role.
Read more