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Weather forecast

Weather forecast for the next 24 hours

Easterly wind, widely 8-13 m/s but 13-20 in the far south. Mainly fair in West-Iceland, but cloudy and light shower of snow or rain in the east. Temperature 0 to 7 deg. C, but near or below freezing in North- and East-Iceland.
Forecast made 24.01.2026 21:24

Forecaster's remarks

Strong easterly wind in the far south, e.g. in Mýrdalur and near Öræfajökull. May be hazardous for vehicles that are sensitive to wind.
Prepared by the meteorologist on duty 24.01.2026 21:24

Precipitation Temperature Wind

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Whole country

News

2025-12-09_hazard_map_IMO

Continued increased likelihood of an eruption on the Sundhnúkur crater row - 20.1.2026

Magma accumulation beneath Svartsengi remains slow but steady, as it has been in recent weeks. As magma continues to build up and pressure in the system increases, a magma intrusion from Svartsengi and a volcanic eruption along the Sundhnúkur crater row remain the most likely scenario in the coming weeks.

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The ninth eruption on the Sundhnúkur crater row has ended - 5.8.2025

Updated 5 August

The volcanic eruption that began on 16 July on the Sundhnúkur crater row is now officially over, and a new hazard map has been issued. Despite the end of the eruption, life-threatening conditions remain in the area due to unstable lava and the potential for gas pollution. Uplift has resumed, and magma continues to accumulate beneath Svartsengi.

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Heavy thunder and lightning in Northwest Iceland and the Westfjords - 16.7.2025

By 11:00, more than 450 lightning strikes had been recorded since the activity began.

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Eruption ongoing on the Sundhnúkur crater row - 15.7.2025

Updated at 11:30, 20 July

The eruption at the Sundhnúkur crater row has caused significant air pollution in recent days, with volcanic haze spreading widely but not fully captured by the national air quality monitoring network. The Icelandic Meteorological Office forecasts gas pollution in South and West Iceland over the coming days, with light winds contributing to persistent haze, especially in the southwest. Vulnerable groups are advised to limit time outdoors if they experience discomfort, and practical guidance for reducing indoor exposure is provided.

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A jökulhlaup from Mýrdalsjökull into the rivers Leirá Syðri and Skálm - 11.7.2025

The flood is subsiding, and water level and conductivity are now approaching normal values in Skálm.

The flood reached its peak the night before last. IMO´s specialists continue to observe the area

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Analysis: Climate change made the May heatwave more likely and more intense - 11.6.2025

In May 2025, an unusually intense heatwave struck Iceland and eastern Greenland, breaking numerous temperature records. On 15 May, Iceland's national May temperature record was set at 26.6°C at Egilsstaðir Airport, with several locations recording temperatures up to 13°C above the monthly average.

A new international analysis by the World Weather Attribution group shows that human-induced climate change made this heatwave around 40 times more likely and, on average, three degrees Celsius hotter than it would have been without global warming. The study also suggests that if global temperatures rise by 2.6°C, such heatwaves could become at least twice as frequent and two degrees hotter.

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Short articles

HARMONIE - numerical weather prediction model 

HARMONIE is a numerical weather prediction model (NWP) that is non-hydrostatic and convection-permitting. It is operated at 2.5 km horizontal resolution over a domain that covers Iceland and the surrounding seas. At this resolution it is possible to simulate explicitly some processes that are important for clouds and precipitation as well as meteorological phenomena related to up- and downdrafts. In order to simulate the interaction between the atmosphere and the surface, the model takes into account different types of land surface as well as processes in and at the surface.

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