Magma accumulation and ground uplift continue beneath Svartsengi. The average rate of magma accumulation over the past few weeks has remained steady.
The most likely scenario remains continued slow magma accumulation, eventually leading to a new dike intrusion and possibly a volcanic eruption.
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In October 2025, the Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO) received a grant of ISK 147 million from the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) for four new development projects in the fields of volcanic hazards and aviation safety. The projects involve, among other things, the development of new measurement methods, automatic analysis of eruption plumes, coordination of responses among European volcano observatories, and research into the effects of sulphur dioxide (SO₂) on aviation.
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